NOAA just released an ensemble forecast for hypoxia this summer.  Based on our semi-mechanistic forecasting model (included in the NOAA ensemble) we predict a hypoxic zone of about 5,985 square miles, slightly larger than the state of Connecticut.

AGU EOS Article

NOAA press release

Read more about our model here: Ecological Applications

http://motherboard.vice.com/read/the-mystery-of-lake-eries-toxic-algae-deepens

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/10/15/lake-erie-bacteria-blooms_n_5991994.html

http://michiganradio.org/post/uh-oh-lake-erie-even-more-susceptible-bacterial-blooms-we-thought

http://www.fondriest.com/news/lake-erie-grown-vulnerable-algae-blooms-tougher-nutrient-targets-needed.htm

http://www.toledoblade.com/local/2014/11/03/Invasive-species-compound-toxic-algae-risk.html

Find our original study here, at Water Resources Research.